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Time to reflect, we're not done

Fellow Plumbers:

It has been a tough and emotional day.  Today I received many emails and calls expressing a wide range of emotions after the disappointing outcome of the election.  I share your great disappointment yet I am optimistic for our long-term future.  Barack Obama will be the 44th President of the United States.  Our nation faces many challenges, we as Americans we should come together and pray for him.  So while I give him conditional support, I’m deeply committed to real change…values that a chastised republican party should embrace.

Many of you asked me to keep our blog up.  I will, the blog is not dead, I’m more energized than ever. Election day 2010 is now less than 2 years away.  I would like to thank KT here in Tampa for setting up the blog. This was her first foray into politics and her dedication is to be commended.  Without KT there would have been no blog.

My intention going forward is to energize and reinvigorate our blog as a vital and active forum.  I’ve had offers of support and suggestions for going forward.  I will accept them all.  From a friend in AZ”I would like to see you continue with it. I want to spread this kind of information to every single person in business and give him or her a reason to not loose hope. I think that an army of people can be created with the use of the internet and information about what is going on in different states needs to be reported to everyone.  As business people we can unite and become activated in a way that may repair some of the damage that will be done”.

We’ll keep our blog http://blog.wetheplumbers.org/ educational, informative and most important positive. I will need your help to do that.  And I will write an email to our fellow plumbers twice a week updating you on important issues.

With your continued help and support, I want to help create an army of educated plumbers to take back our country.  

Our challenge to President-elect Obama, honor the eloquent words you spoke last night…”To those Americans whose support I have yet to earn — I may not have won your vote, but I hear your voices, I need your help, and I will be your president, too"

Before signing off 2 comments on the election

We did not get out the vote!  Despite all the attention focused on registering new voters, the totalvote count so far is down by around 1 million voters.  While the Obama machine did an incredible job getting out the vote, we didn’t.  Here the totals for the last 2 elections.



For our Republican readers, our party lost our way.  I am hopeful that our party will reinvent itself by focusing on traditional conservative values.  As published Wednesday 11/5 in the New York Post

EMBARRASSING ROUT JUST WHAT AILING GOP NEEDS TO SAVE ITSELF
http://www.nypost.com/seven/11052008/news/columnists/
embarrassing_rout_just_what_ailing_gop_n_137125.htm


Your like-minded plumber

Final Days... Reasons for Optimism

My friends,

It’s a mixed bag of news.  

There are several reasons for optimism, the tightening of the polls and an email from the McCain-Palin Campaign.

First the polls: here’s today’s TIPP poll showing TIPP: OBAMA 46.7%... MCCAIN 44.6%... NOT SURE 8.7%...  McCain has gained 2.4% and with 8.7% undecided this race is still there for McCain to win. www.tipponline.com/

Before sharing an email from the Rick Davis campaign manager for the McCain-Palin campaign, I feel compelled to bring up Obama’s recent call to create a Civilian National Security Force. 

To quote Obama directly “we cannot continue to rely only our our military in order to achieve the national security objectives we have set, we’ve got to have a civilian national security force that’s just as powerful, just as strong, just as well funded”.  Don’t believe me, here’s the link www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tt2yGzHfy7s

There is absolutely no justification that can benignly explain this away.  Obama has yet to offer any explanation of this statement.  So, be scared, very scared!  I can only think of how Hitler and Peron came to power.   The style, substance and content of Obama's fiery rhetoric is chillingly similar to the rants of previous self appointed artists of change: Juan Peron and Adolf Hitler.  To ignore history and say it can’t happen here, only invites it to happen.

Now for a little optimism: The McCain Palin campaign is cautiously optimistic.  Here’s the email courtesy of a friend in AZ….  It’s from Rick Davis campaign manager for McCain-Palin.

From: "Rick Davis, McCain-Palin Campaign" <rickdavis@johnmccain.com>
To: <prubel@cox.net> Subject: The State of the Campaign Date: Fri, 31 Oct 
2008 20:36:15 -0400 (EDT)

To:    Interested Parties From:    Rick Davis, Campaign Manager Date:    
October 31, 2008 RE:    The Final Push

The State of the Campaign

If your television is tuned to cable news as frequently as ours are here at 
campaign headquarters, you have seen the pundits say John McCain and his 
campaign are done. And, if you've followed this race since the beginning, 
this is clearly a song you've heard before. I wanted to take some time today 
to give you some insight on the state of the race as we see it.

An AP poll released this morning revealed a very telling fact: ONE out of 
every SEVEN voters is undecided. That means, if 130 million voters turn out 
on Tuesday, 18.5 million of them have yet to make up their mind. With that 
many votes on the table and the tremendous movement we've seen in this race, 
I believe we are in a very competitive campaign.

Here's why:

All the major polls have shown a tightening in the race and a significant 
narrowing of the numbers. In John McCain's typical pattern, he is closing 
strong and surprising the pundits. We believe this race is winnable, and if 
the trajectory continues, we will surpass the 270 Electoral votes needed on 
Election Night. National Polls: Major polls last week showed John McCain 
trailing by double-digit margins - but by the middle of this week, we were 
within the margin of error on four national tracking surveys. In fact, the 
Gallup national tracking survey showed the race in a virtual tie 2 days this 
week.

State Polls:

Iowa - Our numbers in Iowa have seen a tremendous surge in the past 10 days. 
We took Obama's lead from the double digits to a very close race. That is 
why you see Barack Obama visiting the state in the final days, trying to 
stem his losses. It is too little, too late. Like many other Midwestern 
states, Iowa is moving swiftly into McCain's column.

The Southwest - It is no secret that Republican candidates in the Southwest 
have to focus on winning over enough Latino and Hispanic voters in Nevada, 
New Mexico and Colorado to carry them to victory. John McCain has overcome 
challenges Republicans face, and has made up tremendous ground in these 
states with these voters. For these voters, the choice has become clear, and 
you have seen a big change in the numbers. John McCain is now winning enough 
voters to perform within the margin of error - putting these states within 
reach.

Colorado - Barack Obama tried to outspend our campaign in Colorado during 
the early weeks of October and finish off our candidate in Colorado. 
However, after our visit early this week, we saw a tremendous rebound in our 
poll position, and Colorado is back on the map.

Ohio and Pennsylvania - Everyone knows that vote rich Ohio and Pennsylvania 
will be key battlegrounds for this election. Between the two: 41 electoral 
votes and no candidate has gotten to the White House without Ohio. Senator 
McCain and Governor Palin have been campaigning non-stop in these key 
battleground states and tonight Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger has pumped up 
our campaign at a rally in Columbus. Our position in these states is strong 
and undecided voters continue to have a very favorable impression of our 
candidate. Obama campaign faces tremendous structural challenges in the 
final days of this campaign Obama has a challenge hitting 50%: Barack Obama 
has not reached the 50% threshold in almost any the battleground state. He 
consistently is performing in the 45-48% range. When we look closely at the 
primary votes, we see a history of a candidate whose Election Day 
performance is often at or behind his final polling numbers. If this is 
true, our surge will leave Obama with even or under 50% of the vote on 
Election Day.

Early Vote: The Obama campaign has promised that their early vote and 
absentee efforts will change the composition of the electorate. They have 
sold the press on a story that first time voters will turn out in droves 
this election cycle. Again, the facts undermine their argument. In our 
analysis of early voting and absentee votes to date: The composition of the 
electorate has not changed significantly and most folks who have voted early 
are high propensity voters who would have voted regardless of the high 
interest in this campaign.

Expanding the Field: Obama is running out of states if you follow out a 
traditional model. Today, he expanded his buy into North Dakota, Georgia and 
Arizona in an attempt to widen the playing field and find his 270 Electoral 
Votes. This is a very tall order and trying to expand into new states in the 
final hours shows he doesn't have the votes to win. The Final Barnstorm On 
Monday, we will have a 14 state rally with our candidates crisscrossing the 
country trying to turn out our voters and sway the final undecided voters. 
Governor Palin will hit Ohio, Missouri, Iowa, Colorado, Nevada and Alaska in 
the final day of campaigning, while Senator McCain will travel from Tampa, 
Florida, to Virginia, then Pennsylvania, Indiana, New Mexico, Nevada and 
finish the night in Prescott, Arizona. The enthusiasm and excitement we 
generate on Monday will be the electricity that powers our "Get Out the 
Vote" efforts on Tuesday. On the Ground Our field organization has 
tremendous energy and is out-performing the Bush campaign at the same time 
in 2004. This week our field organization crossed a huge threshold and began 
reaching more than one million voters per day, and by week's end will have 
contacted more than 5 million voters. Our phone centers are full and our 
rate of voter contact is significantly out-pacing the Bush campaign in 2004. 
We have the resources to do the voter contact necessary to support the surge 
we are seeing in our polling with old fashioned grassroots outreach. On the 
Airwaves In the final days of the campaign, our television presence will be 
bigger and broader than the Obama campaign's presence. The full Republican 
effort - the RNC's Independent Expenditure and the McCain campaign will 
out-buy Barack Obama and the Democrats by just about 10 million dollars. In 
short: the McCain campaign is surging in the final 72 hours. Our grassroots 
campaign is vibrant and communicating to voters in a very powerful way. Our 
television presence is strong. And, we have a secret ingredient - A 
candidate who will never quit and who will never stop fighting for you and 
for your families. 

In these final hours, Senator McCain and Governor Palin are counting on you 
- they are counting on you to knock on doors, to make turnout calls, to 
contact your friends and neighbors. Get our voters to the polls and help 
John McCain fight for your and for our country. This is our last mission on 
behalf of John McCain and I have no doubt I can count on your effort and 
energy to carry us across the line to victory.

This election has become a crossroads for our county, a referendum on our 
way of life, our form of government.  There is still time to act now, spread 
the word, act now: engage, discuss, educate - and VOTE!



More than a subtle change in NJ

There seems to be a more than subtle shift going on here in NJ.
We actually feel what the polls are showing - some sworn Obama folks are considering the cost of change - seems like the undecided group is growing. Also feels like the leaning-McCain group is growing in their enthusiasm. Feels like some of the previously undecided group is leaning toward McCain. The feedback I have been hearing from Obama folks - is that the Infomercial was over the top and made them feel Obama is treating this like a movie more than a Presidential Election.

There appears to be massive shift among both young and older voters,
As reported by Dick Morris And Eileen McGann
According to a Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll concluded October 28-29 new data indicates a massive shift in younger and older voters is roiling the presidential race
MCCAIN SURGES AMONG YOUNG VOTERS
click here to read
Voters under 45 supported Obama by 52-38 in the Fox News poll of October 21-22. But this week’s survey indicates that they now break evenly with 45% supporting Obama and 46% backing McCain. On the other hand, voters 65 and over, who had backed Obama by 46-42 last week have now shifted decisively in his favor and he now leads McCain among seniors by 54-39. Middle aged voters — aged 45-64 — are largely unchanged in their views. Last week they backed Obama by 48-40 and this week they still support him by 48-43.

A Sense of optimism, “HOPE FOR MCCAIN
This is from an article by Dick Morris And Eileen McGann 10.30.2008 and published in the New York Post on October 30, 2008
click here to read
Iraq isn’t the only place where the surge seems to be working. John McCain’s gains over the last five days are remaking the political landscape as Election Day approaches.

The double-digit leads Barack Obama held last week have evaporated, as all three of the top tracking polls (the most current and reliable measurements out there) show McCain hot on Obama’s heels.

Zogby had Obama ahead by 12 points last week - now it’s down to four. His margin in the Rasmussen poll has dropped from eight points to three in the last few days. Gallup shows only a two-point difference.

In each news cycle, Obama is on the defensive - staving off accusations of closet socialism and trying to wriggle out of his once overt advocacy of income redistribution. “Spreading the wealth around” has become the anti-Obama slogan - and might become the epitaph for his candidacy, just as “brainwashed” was for George Romney and “Where’s the beef?” was for Gary Hart.

A little good news from the polls.
According to the Rasmussen Rasmussen Reports polling, McCain Trusted More on Taxes and Economy
click here to read
After several weeks of John McCain’s campaign attacks on Barack Obama’s tax plan and idea of “spreading the wealth around”, the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds voters trust McCain more than Obama on taxes, 47% to 45%.
Two weeks ago, Obama had a one point-advantage on the issue of taxes and a month ago, he had a three-point edge. The last time McCain had the advantage on this issue was September 14, just before the collapse of Lehman Brothers started the meltdown on Wall Street.

How did Obama really handle the recent economic crisis?  According to recent comments by former President Clinton, there’s a big difference between the image he tries to cultivate and reality.  
This another example of the difference between Obama’s image and Obama’s reality,
Bill Clinton: Obama Got Lots of Help on Economic Crisis Response
click here to read
According to Former President Bill Clinton, Barack Obama cultivated the image of a cool and collected leader during the height of the economic crisis last month.  But to hear Bill Clinton tell it, the Democratic nominee didn't quite have a handle on the situation himself.   In fact he had no idea what to do…"I haven't cleared this with him and he may even be mad at me for saying this so close to the election, but I know what else he said to his economic advisers (during the crisis)," Clinton told the crowd at a Wednesday night rally with Obama in Florida. "He said, 'Tell me what the right thing to do is. What's the right thing for America? Don't tell me what's popular. You tell me what's right -- I'll figure out how to sell it.'"

Obama has never reached out across the aisle and he certainly is not a moderate.
Questions about Obama from a Commentary By Debra J. Saunders
click here to read
He's no moderate: In 2005, Obama could have joined the Gang of 14 -- the group of seven Democrats and seven Republicans (including McCain) who worked out a compromise to successfully limit judicial filibusters -- but he didn't. In his memoir "The Audacity of Hope," Obama explained his decision thus: "Given the profiles of some of the judges involved, it was hard to see what judicial nominee might be so much worse as to constitute an 'extraordinary circumstance' worthy of filibuster." Moderate? Hardly. Obama even voted opposite 78 senators who confirmed the nomination of Chief Justice John Roberts.

Obama Still Can't Close the Deal

Obama still can’t really close the deal.  After many months and many millions, America still hasn’t been able to get comfortable with him.  Wonder why…
  • is it his ever changing tax and income redistribution platform?
  • could it be the people he’s associated with?  
    • Rev. Jeremiah Wright his spiritual mentor
    • William Ayers former member of the radical Weather Underground Organization that claimed responsibility for a dozen bombings between 1970 and 1974.  Although never convicted of any crime, he told the New York Times in September 2001, "I don't regret setting bombs...I feel we didn't do enough."
    • Antoin "Tony" Rezko his financial mentor convicted on several counts of fraud and bribery in 2008.
    • Rashid Khalidi, an internationally known scholar, critic of Israel.  (see article by Peter Wallsten, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer published April 10, 2008 titled “Allies of Palestinians see a friend in Barack Obama”  Here’s the link…http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-na-obamamideast10apr10,0,5826085.story

AP poll: 1 in 7 voters still persuadable
click here to read more...
Almost four in 10 persuadables lean toward McCain, and about as many are considering backing Obama, while the rest are either undecided or lean toward other candidates. Viewed another way, about one in every 10 supporters of Obama or McCain says he could still change his mind.

Even so, persuadable voters could be especially fertile hunting ground for McCain in the closing days of a contest in which most polls show him trailing.

These people trust Obama less than decided voters do to handle the economy, the Iraq war and terrorism. They are less accepting that the Illinois senator has enough experience to be president. And by a 17 percentage-point spread, more see Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin favorably than unfavorably, unlike the narrow majority of voters already backing a candidate who dislike her.

Obama claims he’s a great unifier.  But the truth is he doesn’t have room in his world for any dissent.  Can you actually see him “reaching across the political aisle” when today he banned 3 news outlets from his campaign plane that dared not endorse him?  What’s next?
Obama Plane Pitches Reporters From McCain-Endorsing Papers
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/10/31/obama-plane-pitches-reporters-mccain-endorsing-papers/
Reporters from three newspapers that endorsed John McCain have been told that they can't travel aboard Barack Obama's plane in the final days leading before Election Day.

From my brother in NJ
A frightening similarity between our current situation and both Juan Perón in 1946 and Adolf Hitler in 1933

Argentina elected Juan Perone, Germany elected Hitler - both promised "Social Justice and Social Aid for all"
I urge everyone to Google Juan Perone and read his promises

Both came to power through democratic elections arising from difficult economic conditions and anger by the masses of poor freeloaders against the hard-working wealthy who achieved greatly in a free-market economy. Those dictators gave speeches that sound almost word-for-word like Obama's speeches today - promising utopia for all by punishing the wealthy.  Their speeches delivered with the same rhetorical fervor and "superstar" hype.  Their countries suffered enormously - and many died to restore freedoms in the following decades.

Obama's Edge Narrows by 6%

Now to the polls, there continues to be reasons to be optimistic:

FOX News Poll: Obama's Edge Over McCain Narrows by 6% in just 1 week

The race for the White House has tightened significantly -- with Barack Obama now ahead of John McCain by three percentage points -- according to a FOX News poll released Thursday.  
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/10/30/fox-news-poll-obamas-edge-mccain-narrows/

As the candidates make their closing arguments before the election, the race has tightened with Barack Obama now leading John McCain by 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters, according to a FOX News poll released Thursday. Last week Obama led by 49-40 percent among likely voters.
click here to view the raw data:
http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/103008_poll.pdf

Florida is not lost, with Governor Christ finally campaigning hard both in person and via direct mail, it looks like we may be gaining…
Poll gives McCain lead in Fla. Early voting
http://www.floridatoday.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=200881029048
A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.
And Republicans continued to show a traditional strength, leading 50 percent to the Democrats' 30 percent in the 1.2 million absentee ballots already returned.

Wonder what they know?
Survey: shows McCain beating Obama in Israel
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/10/30/news/ML-Israel-McCain.php
An Israeli pollster says that if the country were on the U.S. election map, it would be bright red.  A survey of Americans in the Holy Land released Thursday found that absentee voters supported Republican John McCain over Barack Obama by a three-to-one margin.

Keep the Change!

Sarah Palin coming to Florida!

New Port Richey Road to Victory Rally
Saturday, November 1st at Sims Park
Corner of Grand Blvd & Bank Street
New Port Richey, FL 34652
Doors Open at 6:00 AM

Please reserve your tickets today to hear from the Republican nominee for Vice President less than 72 hours before Election Day!  Tickets are available for printing online (see link above) and for pickup at the Victory Offices listed below beginning today, Thursday, at 3:00 PM.

Get Your Ticket for the
New Port Richey Event Here

Our Economic crisis - WHY it happened...!!! ***More proof***

Reasons for Optimisim

An interesting quote from the late President Regan highlighting the difference between republicans and democrats.  Reagan once said, "Republicans celebrate July 4. Democrats celebrate April 15."


Obama’s lead seems to be shrinking, he can’t seem to close the deal.  The polls, even the mainstream ones continue to get tighter.  

From today’s Ramussen Reports
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Barack Obama attracting 50% of the vote nationwide while John McCain earns 47%. This is the first time McCain has been within three points of Obama in more than a month and the first time his support has topped 46% since September 24 (see trends). One percent (1%) of voters prefer a third-party option and 2% are undecided

Among those who “always” vote in general elections, Obama leads by just a single point. Obama does better among more casual voters. However, among those with a high degree of interest in this year’s campaign, Obama leads by four. Among those who say they are following the race closely on a daily basis, Obama leads by five.

Another reason for optimism
According to Dick Morris ands published today on his site, UNDECIDEDS SHOULD BREAK FOR MCCAIN
http://www.dickmorris.com/blog/

or for the full story…

http://www.dickmorris.com/blog/2008/10/29/undecideds-should-break-for-mccain/#more-474


A speechwriter for Obama, Edwards, and Clinton on why she’s voting McCain.  By Wendy Button
This was posted today on the Daily Beast.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/blogs-and-stories/2008-10-28/so-long-obama/1/


There’s so much important information and meaningful well-thought reasoning here that pull quotes were almost impossible to identify.  Suggest you take a moment to read it yourself.  Here are some selected highlights…
Since I started writing speeches more than ten years ago, I have always believed in the Democratic Party. Not anymore. Not after the election of 2008. This transformation has been swift and complete and since I’m a woman writing in the election of 2008, “very emotional.”

The final straw came the other week when Samuel Joseph Wurzelbacher (a.k.a Joe the Plumber) asked a question about higher taxes for small businesses. Instead of celebrating his aspirations, they were mocked. He wasn’t “a real plumber,” and “They’re fighting for Joe the Hedge-Fund manager,” and the patronizing, “I’ve got nothing but love for Joe the Plumber.”…

The party I believed in wouldn’t look down on working people under any circumstance. And Joe the Plumber is right. This is the absolutely worst time to raise taxes on anyone: the rich, the middle class, the poor, small businesses and corporations.…

Wendy Button concludes…
I was dead wrong about the surge and thought it would be a disaster. Senator John McCain led when many of us were ready to quit. Yet we march on as if nothing has changed, wedded to an old plan, and that too is a long way from the Democratic Party.…

I can no longer justify what this party has done and can’t dismiss the treatment of women and working people as just part of the new kind of politics. It’s wrong and someone has to say that. And also say that the Democratic Party’s talking points—that Senator John McCain is just four more years of the same and that he’s President Bush—are now just hooker lines that fit a very effective and perhaps wave-winning political argument…doesn’t mean they’re true. After all, he is the only one who’s worked in a bipartisan way on big challenges.

Before I cast my vote, I will correct my party affiliation and change it to No Party or Independent. Then, in the spirit of election 2008, I’ll get a manicure, pedicure, and my hair done. Might as well look pretty when I am unemployed in a city swimming with “D’s.”

Whatever inspiration I had in Chapel Hill two years ago is gone. When people say how excited they are about this election, I can now say, “Maybe for you. But I lost my home.”

The Race Tightens & Redistribution of Wealth Experiment

A cornerstone of Barak Obama’s platform is redistribution of income.  This is the summary of an income redistribution experiment by one of our clients in South Carolina.  While it may be anecdotal,  suggest you share it with someone who may be inclined to vote that way.

After they read and digest this story, redistribution may sound great until it hits close to home.  Then its a nice concept for others.

The American dream is built on creating wealth, not redistributing it.  That’s what McCain•Palin support.  Do you want your income redistributed without your consent and approval?  

According to TIPP Election Watch 2008 the race continues to tighten
http://www.tipponline.com/

There's still time to make a difference....